Uttarakhand is expected to go to elections within the next six months in early 2016. Predicting the exact outcome of the Uttarakhand assembly elections at this juncture can be a little tricky. Nonetheless, one thing is for certain: the race for majority in Uttarakhand Vidhan Sabha is going to be a fight to the finish. The Congress will work hard to retain power in the face of anti-incumbency and its dwindling fortunes in other states. In the last Assembly elections held in 2012, no party got majority. The Congress was the single largest party and it forged a post-poll alliance with the PDF to form government in the state. The BJP was the runner-up and it sat in opposition.
Various pollsters have conducted opinion polls and surveys to study voter behaviour and predict the likely outcome of the coming elections. If the results of the opinion polls are anything to go by, the BJP and Congress are headed for a close fight. According to the opinion polls conducted by India Today-Axis and VDPA Associates, the BJP has a slight edge over the Congress in the current scenario.
A pre-election survey conducted internally by Uttarakhand’s ruling party Congress has predicted that the party is going to win 33 out of 70 seats in the state going to polls early next year. Uttarakhand Congress president Kishore Upadhyay claimed that the survey also shows the party in a formidable position in another 10 seats. He interpreted the results as an indication that the Congress may win 43 seats and said that if it becomes true, it will be the biggest electoral victory for a party in the history of the state.